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Three global population/urbanization reports

Great day today for a global population and urbanization report junky like me! Two new items here and an older one I just learned about:

  1. The New York Times reports on the World Population Prospects 2010 Revision:

    “The population of the world, long expected to stabilize just above 9 billion in the middle of the century, will instead keep growing and may hit 10.1 billion by the year 2100, the United Nations projected in a report released Tuesday. […] Among the factors behind the upward revisions is that fertility is not declining as rapidly as expected in some poor countries, and has shown a slight increase in many wealthier countries, including the United States, Britain and Denmark.”

    Here is the NYTimes piece and the original report

  2. The McKinsey Global Institute publishes a report on ‘Urban world: Mapping the economic power of cities’. Excerpt:

    “Over the next 15 years, the makeup of the group of top 600 cities will change as the center of gravity of the urban world moves south and, even more decisively, east. One of every three developed market cities will no longer make the top 600, and one out of every 20 cities in emerging markets is likely to see its rank drop out of the top 600. By 2025, we expect 136 new cities to enter the top 600, all of them from the developing world and overwhelmingly (100 new cities) from China.”

    You can find the original report here

  3. PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Partnership for NYC published the third annual edition of ‘Cities of opportunity’. Excerpt:

    “Cities of Opportunity this year takes both a quantitative and qualitative look at this emerging picture of city life. And to a great extent, the successes and shortcomings that surface do validate the central thesis of our research—namely, that the more well balanced a city is for both businesses and residents, the better it will fare.”

    The report is here)

A lot of projections and analysis to digest and synthesize but all three main messages are important for urban sustainability research… In the next few days I will spend some time thinking about how the new global population growth projections along with the movement of the center of gravity in urbanization scenarios take into account (or not) expectations and realities about changes in the global environment – for example, the issue of climate change.

Posted in Urbanization.